FK Gabala vs Shamakhi FK
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is FK Gabala. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: FK GabalaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.045 | A: -0.025Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.04. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Azerbaijan Premier League (az). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors FK Gabala. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. FK Gabala has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
FK Gabala – Shamakhi FK Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy - CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 2.03 | 1.31% |
| WIN | CSD Flandria - San Martin De Burzaco | 2.28 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Juventud Unida San Miguel - Club Mercedes | 2.22 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Sambiase - Vigor Lamezia | 2.24 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | FK Iskra Danilovgrad - FK Zeta Golubovci | 1.96 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Navbahor Namangan - Nasaf Qarshi | 1.89 | 1.04% |
| WIN | FC Koper U19 - NK Radomlje U19 | 1.99 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Samsunspor U19 - Fenerbahce U19 | 1.93 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| Tondela - Academica | 1 | 1.90 | 1.04% | 21 Aug 21:15 |
| Leixoes - UD Leiria | 1 | 2.13 | 1.31% | 22 Aug 12:00 |
| Chaves - AVS | 1 | 1.93 | 1.04% | 23 Aug 12:00 |