Model: TipA1

FK Kyzylzhar vs FC Elimai Semey

PREDICTION

@ 2.10

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 04, 2026 5:00 PM

ResultWIN0 - 1

StartStarted 61d 11h ago

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.04% · n=57

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.04% · n=57

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 62d 19h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Elimai Semey. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC Elimai SemeyGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

65/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.17First seen

Current2.16Now

Max odds2.19Highest point

Min odds2.16Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK KyzylzharHOME

FC Elimai SemeyAWAY

LLLLL

Recent form

WWLLW

Avg goals scored

0.40

1.60

Defensive weakness

2.40

1.40

Shots on target for

3.60

7.00

SoT conceded pressure

8.40

5.00

Home splitL-L-W-L-L1.20 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitW-W-D-L-L1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.10. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 11.04% based on n=57 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Kazakhstan Premier League (kz). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.10

V2 BandELITEROI 11.04% · n=57

V4 BandELITEROI 11.04% · n=57

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The ELITE confidence band reinforces the selection, with comparable historical cases showing a stronger expected profile. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to FC Elimai Semey's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 37.4% 7D: 55.7% 15D: 26.9% 30D: 9.4%

Model insight

FK Kyzylzhar – FC Elimai Semey Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.10. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 11.04% and 11.04%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample22

Win Rate81.8%

Profit+17.55u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Howlers SC - Gangtok Himalayan SC	2.25	11.14%
WIN	IF Ready - Gamle Oslo	2.00	11.04%
LOSS	Polanka - MFK Vitkovice	2.15	11.04%
WIN	Estrela de Marco U20 - Nautico Capibaribe U20	2.15	11.04%
WIN	Canberra Juventus - Queanbeyan City	2.15	11.04%
WIN	AaB - FC Fredericia	2.35	11.14%
WIN	FK Jelgava - FK Auda	2.10	11.04%
WIN	Newport City FC - Carmarthen	2.10	11.04%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Dumbarton - Elgin	2	2.00	11.04%	05 Sep 16:00

Pick

2 @ 2.10

Kickoff

Lug 04, 2026 5:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 11.04% • n=57

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

11.04% • n=57

Start

Started 61d 11h ago

Updated

Updated 62d 19h ago