Model: TipA1

Estrela de Marco U20 vs Nautico Capibaribe U20

PREDICTION

@ 2.15

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 15, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 2

StartStarted 2h 15m ago

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.04% · n=57

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.04% · n=57

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 13h 29m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Nautico Capibaribe U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Nautico Capibaribe U20Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.044 | A: 0.273

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

65/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.15First seen

Current2.16Now

Max odds2.16Highest point

Min odds2.15Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Estrela de Marco U20HOME

Nautico Capibaribe U20AWAY

LWWLW

Recent form

WWWWW

Avg goals scored

1.20

3.00

Defensive weakness

1.40

0.60

Shots on target for

4.60

9.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

2.80

Home splitL-W-W-L-W1.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitW2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 11.04% based on n=57 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Copa Nordeste U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.15

V2 BandELITEROI 11.04% · n=57

V4 BandELITEROI 11.04% · n=57

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model places this selection in a historically favorable confidence range. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Nautico Capibaribe U20's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -18.8% 7D: -12.7% 15D: 7.5% 30D: 6.7%

Model insight

Estrela de Marco U20 – Nautico Capibaribe U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 11.04% and 11.04%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample26

Win Rate69.2%

Profit+14.33u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Nautico Hacoaj - Deportivo Metalurgico	2.38	11.14%
WIN	AaB - FC Fredericia	2.35	11.14%
WIN	FK Jelgava - FK Auda	2.10	11.04%
WIN	Newport City FC - Carmarthen	2.10	11.04%
WIN	Lidköpings FK - Stenungsunds IF	2.35	11.14%
WIN	FC Järfälla - IF Karlstad Fotboll	2.20	11.04%
LOSS	Uniao Frederiquense - GE Bage	2.30	11.14%
LOSS	Burnley - Espanyol	2.40	11.14%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Canberra Juventus - Queanbeyan City	2	2.15	11.04%	16 Aug 08:30
Sportivo Iteno - Club General Martin Ledesma	2	2.38	11.14%	16 Aug 15:00
Polanka - MFK Vitkovice	2	2.15	11.04%	16 Aug 16:30

Pick

2 @ 2.15

Kickoff

Ago 15, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 11.04% • n=57

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

11.04% • n=57

Start

Started 2h 15m ago

Updated

Updated 13h 29m ago