La Serena vs O'Higgins
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is La Serena. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: La SerenaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.086 | A: -0.051Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.45. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Chile Liga de Primera (cl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market prices La Serena as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to La Serena's attacking profile.
La Serena – O’Higgins Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Granada - Almeria | 2.69 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Fyllingsdalen - Åsane Fotball 2 | 2.48 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | SC Schwaz - SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen | 2.40 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Albirex Niigata - Montedio Yamagata | 2.31 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Houston Dynamo II - Austin FC II | 2.47 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Rangers de Talca - Deportes Copiapo | 2.47 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Real Murcia - Port Vale | 2.31 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Birkirkara - Sliema Wanderers | 2.28 | 1.59% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| FC Lahti - FC Ilves | 1 | 2.65 | 1.59% | 30 May 16:00 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| FC Talant - FC Dordoi Bishkek | 1 | 2.58 | 1.59% | 30 Jul 16:30 |
| Independiente Rivadavia - Huracan | 1 | 2.24 | 1.04% | 31 Jul 00:00 |
| Lions FC - Peninsula Power | 1 | 2.20 | 1.04% | 01 Aug 10:00 |
| Cheonan City - Yongin FC | 1 | 2.47 | 1.59% | 01 Aug 12:30 |
| Chungnam Asan FC - Seongnam FC | 1 | 2.61 | 1.59% | 01 Aug 12:30 |