Model: TIPPSA
Fortuna Aalesund (W) – Lyn (W)
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.58
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 08, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 18d 9h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 18d 19h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Fortuna Aalesund (W) | Lyn (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-W-L | L-W-W-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.25 | 0.25 |
| Home/Away form | W-W (home) | L-W-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 0.00 conceded | 1.00 scored / 0.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.25 for / 5.50 against | 8.50 for / 3.25 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 1.00 for / 3.00 against (home) | 4.67 for / 3.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Lyn (W)'s attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.76First seen
Current2.66Now
Max odds2.80Highest point
Min odds2.58Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Fortuna Aalesund (W) – Lyn (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.58. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.44% and 4.44%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample119
Win Rate42.0%
Profit+7.39u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Guayaquil City - Orense | 2.48 | 3.59% |
| WIN | Almagro - San Martin SJ | 2.62 | 4.44% |
| WIN | Polonia Bytom - Slask Wroclaw | 2.57 | 3.31% |
| WIN | FH Hafnarfjordur - KA Akureyri | 2.54 | 4.44% |
| LOSS | Irtysh Pavlodar - FC Elimai Semey | 2.34 | 3.31% |
| LOSS | Motor Lublin - Cracovia Krakow | 2.53 | 3.31% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.58
Kickoff
Mag 08, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.44% • n=196
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.44% • n=196
Start
Started 18d 9h ago
Updated
Updated 18d 19h ago