Model: TIPPSA
Fuenlabrada – Rayo Majadahonda
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.43
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 30d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 30d 12h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Fuenlabrada | Rayo Majadahonda |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-W-L-L | D-W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.25 | 0.50 |
| Home/Away form | D-L (home) | D-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.00 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.33 scored / 0.67 conceded |
| Shots on target | 1.50 for / 4.75 against | 5.00 for / 2.75 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 0.00 for / 4.00 against (home) | 6.00 for / 3.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Rayo Majadahonda has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.11First seen
Current2.43Now
Max odds2.43Highest point
Min odds2.08Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Fuenlabrada – Rayo Majadahonda Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.43. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.44% and 4.44%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample145
Win Rate39.3%
Profit-6.91u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Lobos UPNFM Reserves - CD Marathon Reserves | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Radnik Bijeljina - Borac Banja Luka | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | ADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W) | 2.25 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Guayaquil City - Orense | 2.48 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | AFC Hermannstadt - FCSB | 2.26 | 3.31% |
Pick
2 @ 2.43
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.44% • n=196
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.44% • n=196
Start
Started 30d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 30d 12h ago