Fuenlabrada – Rayo Majadahonda

Model: TIPPSA

Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Majadahonda

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.43
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 77d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.44% · n=196
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 77d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Rayo Majadahonda. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Rayo Majadahonda

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

45/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.11First seen
Current2.43Now
Max odds2.43Highest point
Min odds2.08Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FuenlabradaHOME
VS
Rayo MajadahondaAWAY
DWLL
Recent form
DWWW
Avg goals scored
0.75
1.50
Defensive weakness
1.25
0.50
Shots on target for
1.50
5.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.75
2.75
Home splitD-L0.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-W-W1.33 scored / 0.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.43. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.44% based on n=196 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.43
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.44% · n=196
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.44% · n=196
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Rayo Majadahonda has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Rayo Majadahonda's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 21.8% 7D: 11.9% 15D: 9.4% 30D: 16.4%
Model insight

Fuenlabrada – Rayo Majadahonda Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.43. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.44% and 4.44%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample154
Win Rate39.6%
Profit-5.77u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCraigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)2.343.43%
WINSantamarina Tandil - Club Villa Mitre2.654.13%
LOSSUnion La Calera - Universidad de Chile2.293.59%
WINMaldives - Afghanistan2.634.13%
WINChongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan2.523.43%
LOSSDeportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota2.563.43%
LOSSIF Gnistan - SJK2.514.13%
LOSSLech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)2.253.59%
Pick
2 @ 2.43
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.44% • n=196
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.44% • n=196
Start
Started 77d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 77d 13h ago
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