Jacuipense – Atletico Alagoinhas

Model: TIPPSA

Jacuipense vs Atletico Alagoinhas

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.43
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 77d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.38% · n=79
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 77d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Atletico Alagoinhas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Atletico Alagoinhas

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

43/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.54First seen
Current4.80Now
Max odds4.80Highest point
Min odds4.54Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

JacuipenseHOME
VS
Atletico AlagoinhasAWAY
WLLLL
Recent form
LLLL
Avg goals scored
0.80
0.50
Defensive weakness
2.60
2.00
Shots on target for
2.20
1.75
SoT conceded pressure
6.00
3.50
Home splitW-L1.00 scored / 1.50 conceded
Away splitL-L0.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.43. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.38% based on n=79 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie D (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.43
V2 BandNONEROI -0.38% · n=79
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 21.8% 7D: 11.9% 15D: 9.4% 30D: 16.4%
Model insight

Jacuipense – Atletico Alagoinhas Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.43. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.38% across 79 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample18
Win Rate33.3%
Profit+8.77u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINLyon - Lens4.60-0.38%
LOSSDijon - US Orleans 454.50-0.38%
LOSSZira IK - FK Gabala4.44-2.42%
WINGetafe - Rayo Vallecano4.53-0.38%
WINBodrum FK - Sariyer4.33-0.38%
LOSSFC Utrecht - NAC4.30-0.38%
LOSSDeportivo La Coruna (W) - Alhama CF (W)4.28-2.42%
LOSSCD Diocesano U19 - UD La Cruz Villanovense U194.31-0.38%
Pick
2 @ 4.43
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.38% • n=79
Start
Started 77d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 77d 9h ago
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