Model: TIPPSA
Jacuipense – Atletico Alagoinhas
PREDICTION
2
@ 4.43
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 30d 4h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.38% · n=79
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 30d 13h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Jacuipense | Atletico Alagoinhas |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-L-L-L | L-L-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-L (home) | L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 1.50 conceded | 0.00 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.20 for / 6.00 against | 1.75 for / 3.50 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.50 for / 4.50 against (home) | 1.00 for / 3.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.54First seen
Current4.80Now
Max odds4.80Highest point
Min odds4.54Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Jacuipense – Atletico Alagoinhas Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.43. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.38% across 79 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample18
Win Rate33.3%
Profit+8.77u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Lyon - Lens | 4.60 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | Dijon - US Orleans 45 | 4.50 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | Zira IK - FK Gabala | 4.44 | -2.42% |
| WIN | Getafe - Rayo Vallecano | 4.53 | -0.38% |
| WIN | Bodrum FK - Sariyer | 4.33 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | FC Utrecht - NAC | 4.30 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | Deportivo La Coruna (W) - Alhama CF (W) | 4.28 | -2.42% |
| LOSS | CD Diocesano U19 - UD La Cruz Villanovense U19 | 4.31 | -0.38% |
Pick
2 @ 4.43
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.38% • n=79
Start
Started 30d 4h ago
Updated
Updated 30d 13h ago