Gold Coast Knights – Eastern Suburbs

Model: TIPPSH

Gold Coast Knights vs Eastern Suburbs

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.36
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 23, 2026 1:30 PM
ResultWIN4 - 1
StartStarted 4h 5m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6h 17m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Gold Coast Knights. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Gold Coast Knights

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

34/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.19First seen
Current2.36Now
Max odds2.36Highest point
Min odds1.90Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Gold Coast KnightsHOME
VS
Eastern SuburbsAWAY
WWWLW
Recent form
LWWDW
Avg goals scored
2.80
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.40
Shots on target for
6.80
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
5.60
Home splitW-W-W-W-D3.00 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-W-W2.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.36. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia NPL Queensland (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.36
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Gold Coast Knights. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Gold Coast Knights's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -60.0% 7D: -0.9% 15D: -1.1% 30D: 0.8%
Model insight

Gold Coast Knights – Eastern Suburbs Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.36. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample116
Win Rate44.0%
Profit+1.17u
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Pick
1 @ 2.36
Kickoff
Giu 23, 2026 1:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Started 4h 5m ago
Updated
Updated 6h 17m ago
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