Grange Thistle (W) – Logan Lightning (W)

Model: TipA1

Grange Thistle (W) vs Logan Lightning (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.10
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 27, 2026 1:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarted 43d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 44d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Logan Lightning (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Logan Lightning (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

12/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.50First seen
Current2.23Now
Max odds2.55Highest point
Min odds2.23Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Grange Thistle (W)HOME
VS
Logan Lightning (W)AWAY
WLLLL
Recent form
WLWWW
Avg goals scored
1.40
2.60
Defensive weakness
3.80
2.80
Shots on target for
4.80
5.80
SoT conceded pressure
8.80
8.20
Home splitL-L-L1.00 scored / 2.67 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-W2.00 scored / 3.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.10. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.85% based on n=318 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Queensland Premier League Women (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.10
V2 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318
V4 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Logan Lightning (W) a useful statistical edge. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Logan Lightning (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -15.5% 7D: -2.8% 15D: -5.8% 30D: -3.2%
Model insight

Grange Thistle (W) – Logan Lightning (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.10. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.85% and -3.85%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample204
Win Rate47.1%
Profit-4.80u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSKlepp (W) - Fyllingsdalen (W)2.00-1.48%
LOSSJonsereds IF - Landvetter IS2.15-3.85%
LOSSStorfors AIK - Umeå FF2.15-1.48%
WINNordstrand - Frigg2.00-1.48%
LOSSRedcar Athletic - Bury2.10-3.85%
WINRäppe GOIF - IFK Berga2.05-1.48%
LOSSUnion San Felipe - Deportes Recoleta2.00-3.85%
LOSSSan Francisco Reserves - CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves2.00-1.48%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Belen Arco Zaragoza - Molino Viejo22.05-3.85%11 Aug 17:00
Pick
2 @ 2.10
Kickoff
Giu 27, 2026 1:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.85% • n=318
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-3.85% • n=318
Start
Started 43d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 44d 6h ago
Torna in alto