Grange Thistle (W) vs Logan Lightning (W)
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Logan Lightning (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Logan Lightning (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.10. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.85% based on n=318 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Queensland Premier League Women (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Logan Lightning (W) a useful statistical edge. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Logan Lightning (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Grange Thistle (W) – Logan Lightning (W) Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Klepp (W) - Fyllingsdalen (W) | 2.00 | -1.48% |
| LOSS | Jonsereds IF - Landvetter IS | 2.15 | -3.85% |
| LOSS | Storfors AIK - Umeå FF | 2.15 | -1.48% |
| WIN | Nordstrand - Frigg | 2.00 | -1.48% |
| LOSS | Redcar Athletic - Bury | 2.10 | -3.85% |
| WIN | Räppe GOIF - IFK Berga | 2.05 | -1.48% |
| LOSS | Union San Felipe - Deportes Recoleta | 2.00 | -3.85% |
| LOSS | San Francisco Reserves - CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | 2.00 | -1.48% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belen Arco Zaragoza - Molino Viejo | 2 | 2.05 | -3.85% | 11 Aug 17:00 |