Grange Thistle (W) vs Logan Lightning (W)
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Logan Lightning (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Logan Lightning (W)Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.50. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.36% based on n=530 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Queensland Premier League Women (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Logan Lightning (W). The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Logan Lightning (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Grange Thistle (W) – Logan Lightning (W) Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Auckland United FC - Eastern Suburbs Auckland | 2.25 | 6.36% |
| WIN | Coritiba U20 - Atletico Mineiro U20 | 2.63 | 6.36% |
| LOSS | Parnu JK Vaprus II - FC Levadia Tallinn U19 | 2.50 | 6.67% |
| WIN | Gremio U20 - Internacional U20 | 2.50 | 6.36% |
| LOSS | Boca Unidos - San Martin Formosa | 2.38 | 6.36% |
| LOSS | Polisportiva Pietralunghese - Ilvamaddalena | 2.70 | 7.37% |
| LOSS | Hviti Riddarinn - Fjardabyggd | 2.25 | 6.36% |
| LOSS | FC Lustenau - TSV St. Johann | 2.40 | 6.36% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darwin Hearts - Port Darwin FC | 2 | 2.25 | 6.36% | 25 Jun 11:00 |
| ACF - JyTy | 2 | 2.35 | 6.36% | 25 Jun 17:00 |