America RJ – Araruama FC

Model: TIPPSH

America RJ vs Araruama FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.71
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 24, 2026 9:45 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 17h 2m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 19h 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is America RJ. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: America RJ

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

3/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.57First seen
Current1.63Now
Max odds1.75Highest point
Min odds1.55Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

America RJHOME
VS
Araruama FCAWAY
WLDWD
Recent form
WDDLL
Avg goals scored
1.80
0.40
Defensive weakness
0.80
0.60
Shots on target for
4.80
2.40
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
3.40
Home splitW-L-D-W-W1.40 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitW-D-L-L-L0.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.71. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.71
V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The short price is supported by recent form data, with America RJ showing a clearer performance edge. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to America RJ's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -29.5% 7D: -4.3% 15D: -6.6% 30D: -3.5%
Model insight

America RJ – Araruama FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.71. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
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Pick
1 @ 1.71
Kickoff
Giu 24, 2026 9:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970
Start
Started 17h 2m ago
Updated
Updated 19h 11m ago
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