Grindavik – Afturelding

Model: TIPPSA

Grindavik vs Afturelding

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.03
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 27, 2026 11:15 PM
ResultWIN1 - 3
StartStarted 45d ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Afturelding. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Afturelding

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

22/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.74First seen
Current2.03Now
Max odds2.07Highest point
Min odds1.74Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

GrindavikHOME
VS
AftureldingAWAY
LDWDD
Recent form
WWWWW
Avg goals scored
1.60
3.60
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.40
Shots on target for
4.40
6.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
3.40
Home splitL-W-D-D1.25 scored / 1.25 conceded
Away splitW-W-W3.00 scored / 0.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.03. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.84% based on n=515 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 1 Deild (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.03
V2 BandNONEROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Afturelding. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Afturelding's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 26.6% 7D: 28.3% 15D: 26.4% 30D: 7.8%
Model insight

Grindavik – Afturelding Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.03. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.84% across 515 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample36
Win Rate44.4%
Profit-1.89u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSDrogheda United - Shelbourne2.06-0.84%
WINFenix - Leones de Rosario2.14-0.84%
LOSSMoreton City Excelsior (W) - Palm Beach SC (W)2.13-0.84%
WINHPS - Kiffen2.22-0.84%
WINOlimpia Elblag II - DKS Dobre Miasto2.08-0.84%
LOSSPanama - Bosnia-Herzegovina2.14-0.84%
LOSSUCD II - Ballymun United2.09-0.84%
LOSSCEFAT Tirol - Ferroviario2.14-0.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.03
Kickoff
Mag 27, 2026 11:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.84% • n=515
Start
Started 45d ago
Updated
Updated 45d 2h ago
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