Nacional AM vs Paysandu
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Nacional AM. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Nacional AMValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.45. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Copa Norte (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Nacional AM – Paysandu Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Brisbane Roar NPL - Rochedale Rovers | 2.50 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Nublense - O'Higgins | 2.39 | 1.41% |
| WIN | Aarhus Fremad - Silkeborg IF | 2.64 | 1.41% |
| WIN | Athlone Town - Cobh Ramblers | 2.51 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Belconnen United U23 - Canberra Juventus U23 | 2.25 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Athletic Club MG - Operario PR | 2.49 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Almagro - Atletico Rafaela | 2.21 | 1.04% |
| WIN | CA Atlanta Reserves - Tristan Suarez Reserves | 2.26 | 1.59% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| FC Lahti - FC Ilves | 1 | 2.65 | 1.59% | 30 May 16:00 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) - Northern Tigers FC (W) | 1 | 2.20 | 1.04% | 12 Jul 09:00 |
| Fremantle City FC (W) - Perth Redstar FC (W) | 1 | 2.25 | 1.59% | 12 Jul 09:00 |
| Barra FC - Santa Cruz FC | 1 | 2.28 | 1.59% | 12 Jul 16:00 |