UMF Selfoss – Dalvik/Reynir

Model: TIPPSH

UMF Selfoss vs Dalvik/Reynir

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.67
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 29, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 1h 8m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.66% · n=356
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.66% · n=356
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4h 52m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is UMF Selfoss. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: UMF SelfossGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.078 | A: -0.081

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

4/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.87First seen
Current1.67Now
Max odds1.87Highest point
Min odds1.67Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

UMF SelfossHOME
VS
Dalvik/ReynirAWAY
WWWDW
Recent form
LLLLW
Avg goals scored
3.00
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
2.20
Shots on target for
4.80
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
6.20
Home splitW-D-W-D-W2.80 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-D-W2.60 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.67. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.66% based on n=356 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 2 Deild (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.67
V2 BandNONEROI -4.66% · n=356
V4 BandNONEROI -4.66% · n=356
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -16.0% 7D: -13.3% 15D: 6.8% 30D: 13.9%
Model insight

UMF Selfoss – Dalvik/Reynir Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.67. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -4.66% and -4.66%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample260
Win Rate57.3%
Profit-9.67u
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WINNasaf Qarshi - Qizilqum Zarafshon1.65-9.21%
LOSSClub Guarani Reserves - Sportivo Luqueno Reserves1.72-10.11%
LOSSHonduras U20 - Jamaica U201.63-9.21%
LOSSKA Akureyri - Thor Akureyri1.75-7.35%
LOSSSan Diego Wave (W) - Reign FC (W)1.62-7.35%
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Pick
1 @ 1.67
Kickoff
Lug 29, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -4.66% • n=356
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-4.66% • n=356
Start
Started 1h 8m ago
Updated
Updated 4h 52m ago
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