Sportivo Ameliano Reserves vs 2 de Mayo Reserves
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Sportivo Ameliano Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Sportivo Ameliano ReservesGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.175 | A: -0.025Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.71. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.66% based on n=356 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Reserve League (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Market expectations and recent results both point toward Sportivo Ameliano Reserves as the more reliable side. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Sportivo Ameliano Reserves is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Sportivo Ameliano Reserves – 2 de Mayo Reserves Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | LoPa - EPS Reservi | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Gamle Oslo - FK Union Carl Berner | 1.66 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | ADO Den Haag - Asteras Tripolis | 1.67 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Bray Wanderers - Kerry FC | 1.67 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Hume City - Melbourne City FC 2 | 1.73 | -9.21% |
| WIN | UMF Selfoss - Dalvik/Reynir | 1.67 | -4.66% |
| WIN | Arsenal de Sarandi Reserves - Villa Dalmine Reserves | 1.68 | -6.04% |
| WIN | Chungnam Asan FC - Siheung City AC | 1.72 | -6.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| SC Fortuna Köln - Kickers Offenbach | 1 | 1.67 | -4.66% | 01 Aug 14:00 |
| Raith - Stenhousemuir | 1 | 1.63 | -9.21% | 01 Aug 16:00 |
| East Kilbride - Queen of South | 1 | 1.75 | -4.66% | 01 Aug 16:00 |
| Slovan Liberec - FK Teplice | 1 | 1.72 | -9.21% | 01 Aug 17:00 |
| SFK Vrchovina - FK Blansko | 1 | 1.75 | -6.04% | 01 Aug 17:00 |
| Kecskemeti TE - Tiszakecske FC | 1 | 1.70 | -7.35% | 01 Aug 17:30 |