Model: TIPPSH

Halifax vs Derby U21

PREDICTION

@ 1.85

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 18, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 23h 24m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 5m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Halifax. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: HalifaxGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.009 | A: -0.067

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.91First seen

Current1.85Now

Max odds1.91Highest point

Min odds1.85Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

HalifaxHOME

Derby U21AWAY

LLWWW

Recent form

LLLWW

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.80

2.20

Shots on target for

4.80

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

7.75

Home splitL-W-L-L-L1.60 scored / 4.00 conceded

Away splitL-L0.50 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.85. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England National League Cup (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.85

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Halifax. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Halifax is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -16.9% 7D: -22.6% 15D: -4.1% 30D: 1.5%

Model insight

Halifax – Derby U21 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.85. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample574

Win Rate52.4%

Profit+4.08u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Rio Verde - Goianesia	2.02	1.04%
LOSS	Raufoss - Asane	2.01	1.04%
LOSS	Alhama CF (W) - Villarreal (W)	1.91	1.31%
WIN	Los Angeles FC II - Tacoma Defiance	1.89	1.04%
WIN	US Hostert - FC Etzella Ettelbruck	1.95	1.04%
LOSS	Ingulets Petrovo - Nyva Ternopil	2.10	1.04%
WIN	SK Sturm Graz (W) - FC Salzburg (W)	1.90	1.04%
LOSS	Benatky Nad Jizerou - Hradec Kralove B	2.10	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 1.85

Kickoff

Ago 18, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Starts in 23h 24m

Updated

Updated 5m ago