Model: TIPPSH

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

PREDICTION

@ 1.65

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 19, 2026 9:30 PM

ResultWIN4 - 2

StartStarted 53d 7h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -10.11% · n=160

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -10.11% · n=160

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 53d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hapoel Beer Sheva. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hapoel Beer Sheva

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

2/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.95First seen

Current1.66Now

Max odds1.95Highest point

Min odds1.63Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Hapoel Beer ShevaHOME

Maccabi Tel AvivAWAY

WWDWW

Recent form

LLWDD

Avg goals scored

2.40

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.60

Shots on target for

6.00

2.80

SoT conceded pressure

2.20

6.60

Home splitW-W-D-W-W2.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitL-D-D-L-W1.80 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.65. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -10.11% based on n=160 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Israel Premier League (il). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.65

V2 BandNONEROI -10.11% · n=160

V4 BandNONEROI -10.11% · n=160

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward Hapoel Beer Sheva as the more reliable side. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Hapoel Beer Sheva's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 9.6% 7D: 13.6% 15D: 4.6% 30D: 0.6%

Model insight

Hapoel Beer Sheva – Maccabi Tel Aviv Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.65. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -10.11% and -10.11%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample197

Win Rate58.4%

Profit-4.06u

Historical Similar Predictions

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LOSS	Atletico Grau - Carlos Manucci	1.64	-7.35%
LOSS	Dundalk - Drogheda United	1.64	-9.21%
WIN	Cento Cuore Harima - Ococias Kyoto AC	1.72	-9.21%
LOSS	Loudoun United FC - Sporting JAX	1.68	-9.21%
WIN	Provincial Osorno - General Velásquez	1.62	-9.21%

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Pick

1 @ 1.65

Kickoff

Mag 19, 2026 9:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -10.11% • n=160

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-10.11% • n=160

Start

Started 53d 7h ago

Updated

Updated 53d 14h ago