Haro Deportivo – Naxara

Model: TIPPSH

Haro Deportivo vs Naxara

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.99
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 14, 2026 9:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 4
StartStarted 1d ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.87% · n=129
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.25% · n=12
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Haro Deportivo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Haro DeportivoGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

64/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.59First seen
Current4.39Now
Max odds5.43Highest point
Min odds4.19Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Haro DeportivoHOME
VS
NaxaraAWAY
LLLDD
Recent form
WLLWL
Avg goals scored
0.20
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.60
2.20
Shots on target for
2.67
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.33
6.60
Home splitL-L-D-D-W1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-L-L1.40 scored / 2.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.99. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.25% based on n=12 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.99
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.87% · n=129
V4 BandHIGHROI 6.25% · n=12
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -19.4% 7D: 2.8% 15D: 10.2% 30D: 8.3%
Model insight

Haro Deportivo – Naxara Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.99. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.87% and 6.25%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample11
Win Rate27.3%
Profit+0.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCD Estradense - Coruxo3.905.87%
LOSSSestri Levante - FC Vado3.905.56%
LOSSBjelovar - NK Krizevci3.795.87%
WINMlada Boleslav - Sparta Prague4.035.87%
LOSSDebreceni VSC - FC Copenhagen4.205.87%
LOSSGyeongnam FC - Daegu FC4.055.56%
LOSSFK Bumprom - FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk3.945.87%
LOSSGuangxi Hengchen - Shandong Taishan4.115.87%
Pick
1 @ 3.99
Kickoff
Ago 14, 2026 9:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.87% • n=129
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.25% • n=12
Start
Started 1d ago
Updated
Updated 1d 2h ago
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