Model: TIPPSH

St Louis City II vs Real Monarchs SLC

PREDICTION

@ 1.83

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 03, 2026 3:00 AM

ResultWIN3 - 0

StartStarted 1d ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is St Louis City II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: St Louis City IIGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.125 | A: 0.016

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.79First seen

Current1.83Now

Max odds1.85Highest point

Min odds1.79Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

St Louis City IIHOME

Real Monarchs SLCAWAY

WDLLL

Recent form

LLLWD

Avg goals scored

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.60

2.20

Shots on target for

5.80

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

5.40

6.00

Home splitW-D-L-L-W1.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-D-L-L0.60 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.83. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS Next Pro League (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.83

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to St Louis City II's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 55.3% 7D: 14.8% 15D: 7.9% 30D: 10.6%

Model insight

St Louis City II – Real Monarchs SLC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.83. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample388

Win Rate47.2%

Profit-40.05u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Lillestrøm 2 - Kongsvinger 2	1.92	1.31%
WIN	Torque Reserves - Deportivo Maldonado Reserves	1.99	1.04%
LOSS	Real Frontera - Atletico El Vigia	2.04	1.04%
WIN	South Melbourne U23 - St Albans Saints U23	1.76	1.31%
WIN	Rapid Vienna - SCR Altach	1.78	1.04%
WIN	Reipas - PPJ	1.85	1.04%
WIN	KCCA - BUL FC	1.78	1.31%
WIN	VfB Stuttgart - Paris FC	1.78	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 1.83

Kickoff

Ago 03, 2026 3:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Started 1d ago

Updated

Updated 1d 2h ago