Model: TIPPSA
Porto BA – Vitoria ES
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.18
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 10d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.58% · n=409
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.22% · n=185
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10d 8h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Porto BA | Vitoria ES |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-W-L-W | D-D-D-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | D-L-W-W (home) | D-D-D-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.25 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.50 for / 7.50 against | 5.20 for / 3.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.00 for / 5.00 against (home) | 4.00 for / 3.75 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Vitoria ES a useful statistical edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Vitoria ES has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.12First seen
Current2.18Now
Max odds2.18Highest point
Min odds2.12Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Porto BA – Vitoria ES Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.18. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.58% across 409 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.22% across 185 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample85
Win Rate51.8%
Profit+8.73u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves - Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 2.26 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Unam Pumas - Cruz Azul | 2.38 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Nottm Forest - Bournemouth | 2.02 | 1.21% |
| LOSS | Usti N Orlici - Slovan Liberec B | 2.03 | 1.21% |
| WIN | Frem - Holbæk | 2.39 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | PFC Oleksandria - FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 2.27 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Rebordosa - Leca | 2.36 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Brondby - FC Copenhagen | 2.29 | 0.84% |
Pick
2 @ 2.18
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.58% • n=409
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.22% • n=185
Start
Started 10d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 10d 8h ago