Porto BA – Vitoria ES

Model: TIPPSA

Porto BA vs Vitoria ES

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.18
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 56d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.58% · n=409
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.22% · n=185
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 56d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Vitoria ES. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Vitoria ES

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

23/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.12First seen
Current2.18Now
Max odds2.18Highest point
Min odds2.12Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Porto BAHOME
VS
Vitoria ESAWAY
DLWLW
Recent form
DDDWW
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.20
Shots on target for
3.50
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
7.50
3.20
Home splitD-L-W-W1.25 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-D-D-L-W1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.18. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.22% based on n=185 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie D (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.18
V2 BandLOWROI 0.58% · n=409
V4 BandNONEROI -1.22% · n=185
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Vitoria ES a useful statistical edge. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Vitoria ES's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 9.7% 7D: 8.4% 15D: 2.3% 30D: 0.4%
Model insight

Porto BA – Vitoria ES Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.18. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.58% across 409 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.22% across 185 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample99
Win Rate53.5%
Profit+14.22u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINRadomiak Radom - Hapoel Beer Sheva2.041.21%
LOSSFortaleza U20 - Vasco da Gama U202.111.21%
WINBentleigh Greens - Altona Magic2.290.84%
WINHolland Park Hawks - Redlands United2.031.21%
LOSSGalway United - Derry City2.350.84%
WINIFK Mariehamn - IF Gnistan2.031.21%
LOSSNunawading - Keilor Park2.250.84%
WINMyPa - PPJ2.061.76%
Pick
2 @ 2.18
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.58% • n=409
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.22% • n=185
Start
Started 56d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 56d 7h ago
Torna in alto