Hellas Kagran vs SV Donau
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is SV Donau. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: SV DonauGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.156Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.85. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.07% based on n=461 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market prices SV Donau as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. SV Donau is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Hellas Kagran – SV Donau Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Sundby - Ringsted IF | 2.87 | -1.07% |
| WIN | KuPS (W) - Aland United (W) | 3.00 | -1.07% |
| WIN | Anapolis FC - Botafogo PB | 3.10 | -1.07% |
| WIN | AC Boise - One Knoxville SC | 2.84 | -1.07% |
| WIN | FC Haka - KTP | 2.97 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Valur Reykjavik - Keflavik | 2.93 | -1.07% |
| WIN | Bahir Dar Kenema FC - Wolaita Dicha | 2.82 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Belgrano (W) - CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 3.02 | -1.07% |