Hellas Kagran – SV Donau

Model: TIPPSA

Hellas Kagran vs SV Donau

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.85
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 30, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 8h 34m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1h 49m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SV Donau. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SV DonauGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.156

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.75First seen
Current3.38Now
Max odds3.38Highest point
Min odds1.72Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Hellas KagranHOME
VS
SV DonauAWAY
WLLDL
Recent form
DWLLL
Avg goals scored
0.80
2.20
Defensive weakness
2.80
3.60
Shots on target for
4.40
7.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.00
6.60
Home splitW-L-D-L1.50 scored / 2.50 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-L-W1.80 scored / 3.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.85. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.07% based on n=461 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.85
V2 BandNONEROI -1.07% · n=461
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market prices SV Donau as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. SV Donau is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -28.0% 7D: -19.7% 15D: 8.0% 30D: 9.3%
Model insight

Hellas Kagran – SV Donau Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.85. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.07% across 461 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample49
Win Rate40.8%
Profit+9.11u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSundby - Ringsted IF2.87-1.07%
WINKuPS (W) - Aland United (W)3.00-1.07%
WINAnapolis FC - Botafogo PB3.10-1.07%
WINAC Boise - One Knoxville SC2.84-1.07%
WINFC Haka - KTP2.97-1.07%
LOSSValur Reykjavik - Keflavik2.93-1.07%
WINBahir Dar Kenema FC - Wolaita Dicha2.82-1.07%
LOSSBelgrano (W) - CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)3.02-1.07%
Pick
2 @ 2.85
Kickoff
Lug 30, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.07% • n=461
Start
Starts in 8h 34m
Updated
Updated 1h 49m ago
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