Hetman Tykocin – Turosnianka Turosn Koscielna

Model: TIPPSA

Hetman Tykocin vs Turosnianka Turosn Koscielna

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.86
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 12, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 3
StartStarted 52d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.96% · n=166
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 52d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Turosnianka Turosn Koscielna. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Turosnianka Turosn KoscielnaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

51/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.50First seen
Current2.93Now
Max odds3.13Highest point
Min odds2.45Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Hetman TykocinHOME
VS
Turosnianka Turosn KoscielnaAWAY
LL
Recent form
WWL
Avg goals scored
1.50
2.33
Defensive weakness
3.50
2.00
Shots on target for
6.00
7.67
SoT conceded pressure
9.50
5.67
Home splitL2.00 scored / 3.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-L2.33 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.86. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.96% based on n=166 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland IV Liga (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.86
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.96% · n=166
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Turosnianka Turosn Koscielna shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Turosnianka Turosn Koscielna is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 27.8% 7D: 6.3% 15D: -1.6% 30D: 14.2%
Model insight

Hetman Tykocin – Turosnianka Turosn Koscielna Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.86. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.96% across 166 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample59
Win Rate39.0%
Profit+3.28u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSHodd - Moss3.044.96%
WINHertha Wels - SV Austria Salzburg2.764.96%
LOSSFC Gute - Kungsängens IF2.803.61%
LOSSAarau - Stade Lausanne-Ouchy2.764.96%
WINPanama U20 - Canada U202.714.13%
LOSSKalmar FF - Mjällby AIF2.714.13%
LOSSKalmar FF - Malmo FF2.824.96%
WINKF Drita - FK Kauno Zalgiris2.854.96%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN22.703.31%30 Apr 02:30
Pick
2 @ 2.86
Kickoff
Giu 12, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.96% • n=166
Start
Started 52d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 52d 7h ago
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