Model: TIPPSH

HNK Segesta vs NK Dubrava Zagreb

PREDICTION

@ 2.25

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 14, 2026 7:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 8h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is HNK Segesta. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: HNK SegestaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.135 | A: -0.099

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

36/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.00First seen

Current2.26Now

Max odds3.19Highest point

Min odds2.26Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

HNK SegestaHOME

NK Dubrava ZagrebAWAY

DWDWW

Recent form

LLDLL

Avg goals scored

3.80

0.20

Defensive weakness

0.80

2.00

Shots on target for

7.80

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

2.40

4.80

Home splitW-W-W-L-W3.60 scored / 0.40 conceded

Away splitL-D-L-W-W1.00 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.25. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.25

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to HNK Segesta's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 15.5% 7D: 9.2% 15D: 13.9% 30D: 12.1%

Model insight

HNK Segesta – NK Dubrava Zagreb Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample236

Win Rate44.9%

Profit-3.65u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Gimnastica de Torrelavega - Sestao River	2.40	2.49%
WIN	Norrby IF - Orebro SK	2.26	3.15%
LOSS	FC Spartak Velka Bites - TJ Tatran Bohunice	2.25	3.15%
WIN	Auckland FC II - East Coast Bays	2.50	2.49%
LOSS	Apollon Limassol - SK Brann	2.29	2.49%
WIN	Wisloka Debica - JKS Jaroslaw	2.34	3.15%
WIN	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Petah Tikva	2.45	3.15%
LOSS	LKS Drama Zbroslawice - Podlesianka Katowice	2.25	2.49%

Active Similar Predictions

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Rostov - Rubin Kazan	1	2.20	3.37%	15 Aug 17:30
Orense - Deportivo Cuenca	1	2.00	3.37%	16 Aug 21:00
Cardiff - Wrexham	1	2.42	2.49%	17 Aug 21:00

Pick

1 @ 2.25

Kickoff

Ago 14, 2026 7:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

2.49% • n=1025

Start

Starts in 1d 8h

Updated

Updated 9m ago