Model: TIPPSH

Norrby IF vs Orebro SK

PREDICTION

@ 2.23

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 10, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultWIN3 - 1

StartStarted 9m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=746

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2h 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Norrby IF. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Norrby IFGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.088 | A: -0.085

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.38First seen

Current2.23Now

Max odds2.38Highest point

Min odds2.23Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Norrby IFHOME

Orebro SKAWAY

WDDWL

Recent form

LLDLL

Avg goals scored

2.00

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.60

2.20

Shots on target for

5.00

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

2.60

5.60

Home splitW-D-W-D-L1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-D-L1.20 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.23. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden Superettan (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.23

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=746

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Norrby IF. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Norrby IF is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -19.3% 7D: -1.9% 15D: 8.8% 30D: 8.7%

Model insight

Norrby IF – Orebro SK Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.23. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 746 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample429

Win Rate46.4%

Profit+1.11u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Nacional de Montevideo Reserves - Montevideo Wanderers Reserves	2.20	1.31%
WIN	Planalto EC (W) - Pantanal (W)	2.12	1.04%
LOSS	Huachipato (W) - Palestino (W)	2.37	1.59%
LOSS	JS Hercules - SJK Akatemia II	2.32	1.59%
LOSS	Lujan - Central Cordoba de Rosario	2.07	1.04%
LOSS	CS Deportivo Sacachispas - Mictlán	2.06	1.04%
WIN	Alemannia Aachen - Verl	2.17	1.04%
LOSS	FC Probiy Horodenka - FC Chernigiv	2.22	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.23

Kickoff

Ago 10, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=746

Start

Started 9m ago

Updated

Updated 2h 13m ago