Houston Dynamo II – Austin FC II

Model: TIPPSH

Houston Dynamo II vs Austin FC II

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.28
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 05, 2026 3:00 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 1h 58m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5h 2m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Houston Dynamo II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Houston Dynamo IIGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.139 | A: 0.108

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

34/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.45First seen
Current2.48Now
Max odds2.48Highest point
Min odds2.27Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Houston Dynamo IIHOME
VS
Austin FC IIAWAY
LDDLW
Recent form
LWDWW
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.40
0.60
Shots on target for
4.20
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
3.60
Home splitL-D-L-W-D1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitL-D-D-D-W1.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.28. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS Next Pro League (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.28
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -17.7% 7D: 3.8% 15D: 11.5% 30D: 5.6%
Model insight

Houston Dynamo II – Austin FC II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.28. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample634
Win Rate46.4%
Profit+16.12u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSND Ilirija Ljubljana - NK Primorje Ajdovscina2.091.31%
LOSSLa Luz - Huracan DPA2.051.04%
WINDeportivo Paraguayo Reserves - Centro Espanyol Reserves2.301.59%
LOSSMoik Baku - FK Sahdag Qusar2.321.59%
WINLevante UD (W) - Villarreal (W)2.201.04%
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Pick
1 @ 2.28
Kickoff
Set 05, 2026 3:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Started 1h 58m ago
Updated
Updated 5h 2m ago
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