Model: TIPPSA

Hull vs Millwall

PREDICTION

@ 2.50

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 08, 2026 11:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 0

StartStarted 63d 20h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.40% · n=230

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 64d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Millwall. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Millwall

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

32/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.42First seen

Current2.50Now

Max odds2.50Highest point

Min odds2.42Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

HullHOME

MillwallAWAY

DWLDD

Recent form

DWDWW

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.20

0.40

Shots on target for

4.00

5.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.40

2.00

Home splitD-W-D-D0.75 scored / 0.50 conceded

Away splitD-D-W-D-W1.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.50. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.40% based on n=230 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England Championship (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.50

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.31% · n=578

V4 BandLOWROI 0.40% · n=230

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Millwall shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Millwall's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -33.5% 7D: -15.3% 15D: -8.3% 30D: 5.3%

Model insight

Hull – Millwall Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.50. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.40% across 230 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample156

Win Rate41.7%

Profit+5.62u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Craigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)	2.34	3.43%
WIN	Santamarina Tandil - Club Villa Mitre	2.65	4.13%
LOSS	Union La Calera - Universidad de Chile	2.29	3.59%
WIN	Maldives - Afghanistan	2.63	4.13%
WIN	Chongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan	2.52	3.43%
LOSS	Deportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota	2.56	3.43%
LOSS	IF Gnistan - SJK	2.51	4.13%
LOSS	Lech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)	2.25	3.59%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN	2	2.70	3.31%	30 Apr 02:30

Pick

2 @ 2.50

Kickoff

Mag 08, 2026 11:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

0.40% • n=230

Start

Started 63d 20h ago

Updated

Updated 64d 7h ago