IBU Uppsveitir – SR Reykjavik

Model: TIPPSH

IBU Uppsveitir vs SR Reykjavik

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 27, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 3
StartStarted 53d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 53d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is IBU Uppsveitir. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: IBU UppsveitirGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

50/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.63First seen
Current2.90Now
Max odds2.90Highest point
Min odds2.60Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

IBU UppsveitirHOME
VS
SR ReykjavikAWAY
L
Recent form
WL
Avg goals scored
0.00
2.00
Defensive weakness
3.00
1.50
Shots on target for
2.00
7.50
SoT conceded pressure
13.00
3.50
Home splitL0.00 scored / 3.00 conceded
Away splitW3.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.90. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 5 Deild (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.90
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -22.0% 7D: -11.6% 15D: -9.8% 30D: -4.6%
Model insight

IBU Uppsveitir – SR Reykjavik Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.90. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample69
Win Rate43.5%
Profit+17.58u
Historical Similar Predictions
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LOSSUSV Gnas - Ilzer SV2.984.53%
WINPerth Glory NPL - Fremantle City FC2.884.53%
LOSSAnnan Athletic - Clyde2.934.53%
WINAsteras Tripolis - AEK Larnaca2.924.53%
WINLeixoes - Tondela2.732.49%
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Pick
1 @ 2.90
Kickoff
Giu 27, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669
Start
Started 53d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 53d 14h ago
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