IBV Vestmannaeyjar – Keflavik

Model: TIPPSA

IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Keflavik

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.08
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 31, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS6 - 1
StartStarted 51d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 51d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Keflavik. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: KeflavikGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

23/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.05First seen
Current2.16Now
Max odds2.28Highest point
Min odds2.05Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

IBV VestmannaeyjarHOME
VS
KeflavikAWAY
WDLLL
Recent form
LWDWL
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.80
2.20
Shots on target for
3.00
5.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
5.40
Home splitW-L-L-L-D2.00 scored / 2.40 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-L-L1.80 scored / 2.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.08. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.84% based on n=515 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland Premier League (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.08
V2 BandNONEROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Keflavik's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 4.2% 7D: 9.8% 15D: 22.8% 30D: 12.3%
Model insight

IBV Vestmannaeyjar – Keflavik Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.08. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.84% across 515 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample45
Win Rate44.4%
Profit-2.37u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSNingbo Professional U20 - Hubei Istar U202.05-0.84%
LOSSPittsburgh Riverhounds - Louisville City FC2.21-0.84%
LOSSAthlone Town U20 - Derry City U202.24-0.84%
WINFinn Harps - Bray Wanderers2.08-0.84%
WINSpartak Moscow U19 - Lokomotiv Moscow U192.21-0.84%
LOSSFC Nordsjaelland - Sparta Prague2.17-0.84%
LOSSBATE Borisov - AF Elbasani2.20-0.84%
WINPuskas Academy - Istanbul Basaksehir2.03-0.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.08
Kickoff
Mag 31, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.84% • n=515
Start
Started 51d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 51d 6h ago
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