Model: TIPPSA
IBV Vestmannaeyjar – Keflavik
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.08
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 31, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS6 - 1
StartStarted 1d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | Keflavik |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-L-L-L | L-W-D-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-L-L-D (home) | L-W-W-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.00 scored / 2.40 conceded | 1.80 scored / 2.80 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.00 for / 4.60 against | 5.60 for / 5.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 5.60 against (home) | 6.00 for / 6.20 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Keflavik. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Keflavik is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 4.2%
7D: 9.8%
15D: 22.8%
30D: 12.3%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.05First seen
Current2.16Now
Max odds2.28Highest point
Min odds2.05Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
IBV Vestmannaeyjar – Keflavik Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.08. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.84% across 515 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample29
Win Rate44.8%
Profit-1.33u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | CEFAT Tirol - Ferroviario | 2.14 | -0.84% |
| WIN | Egersund - Stromsgodset | 2.06 | -0.84% |
| LOSS | Pors Grenland - Mjondalen | 2.05 | -0.84% |
| WIN | Helsingborg - IFK Norrkoping | 2.05 | -0.84% |
| LOSS | Atletico Arteixo - Compostela | 2.11 | -0.84% |
| WIN | La Serena - Colo Colo | 2.03 | -0.84% |
| LOSS | Moss - Stabaek | 2.07 | -0.84% |
| WIN | FH Hafnarfjordur - IA Akranes | 2.24 | -0.84% |
Pick
2 @ 2.08
Kickoff
Mag 31, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.84% • n=515
Start
Started 1d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 2d ago