Model: TIPPSH

Ilvamaddalena vs Viareggio Calcio

PREDICTION

@ 2.15

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 31, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultWIN4 - 1

StartStarted 51d 7h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 51d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Ilvamaddalena. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: IlvamaddalenaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.10First seen

Current2.15Now

Max odds2.15Highest point

Min odds2.10Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

IlvamaddalenaHOME

Viareggio CalcioAWAY

Recent form

Avg goals scored

2.50

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.00

2.50

Shots on target for

6.00

3.50

SoT conceded pressure

3.50

6.00

Home splitW4.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL1.00 scored / 4.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.15. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Eccellenza (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.15

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Ilvamaddalena. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Ilvamaddalena is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 4.2% 7D: 9.8% 15D: 22.8% 30D: 12.3%

Model insight

Ilvamaddalena – Viareggio Calcio Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample323

Win Rate46.4%

Profit-7.09u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Penarol Reserves - Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves	2.13	1.04%
LOSS	Al Ansar Beirut - Al Nejmeh	2.17	1.04%
WIN	Keflavik - IA Akranes	2.36	1.59%
WIN	Buzios - Barra Mansa	2.35	1.59%
WIN	Sao Joao del Rei U20 - Inter De Minas U20	2.24	1.04%
WIN	South East United FC - Launceston United	1.95	1.04%
WIN	St Pauli - HNK Gorica	2.01	1.04%
LOSS	Changchun Dazhong (W) - Sichuan Jiannanchun Women	2.13	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.15

Kickoff

Mag 31, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Started 51d 7h ago

Updated

Updated 51d 10h ago