Model: TIPPSH
Independiente Medellin (W) – Orsomarso (W)
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.67
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 24, 2026 12:30 AM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 3d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -6.04% · n=271
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3d 3h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Independiente Medellin (W) | Orsomarso (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-L-W-L | L-D-D-W-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-W (home) | D-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 3.00 scored / 0.00 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.00 for / 5.20 against | 3.20 for / 3.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 7.50 for / 4.00 against (home) | 3.50 for / 3.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current price indicates market confidence, even if recent form does not show an overwhelming gap. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Independiente Medellin (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.53First seen
Current1.67Now
Max odds1.72Highest point
Min odds1.53Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Independiente Medellin (W) – Orsomarso (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.67. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -6.04% across 271 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample52
Win Rate57.7%
Profit-1.55u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Pamba SC - Tanzania Prisons | 1.71 | -7.35% |
| WIN | KR Reykjavik - Valur Reykjavik | 1.62 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Stabaek (W) - Haugesund (W) | 1.69 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Gil Vicente U23 - Santa Clara U23 | 1.74 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Ajax (W) - Feyenoord (W) | 1.71 | -9.21% |
| WIN | IFK Norrkoping - Osters IF | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| WIN | ZNK Agram (W) - ZNK Dinamo (W) | 1.68 | -6.04% |
| LOSS | CS Sfaxien - ES Zarzis | 1.64 | -7.35% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocheon Citizen FC - Changwon City | 1 | 1.63 | -9.21% | 27 May 11:00 |
| Sport Boys - Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 31 May 00:30 |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Miami FC | 1 | 1.68 | -9.21% | 31 May 01:00 |
| CD Los Chankas - UTC Cajamarca | 1 | 1.72 | -9.21% | 31 May 22:15 |
Pick
1 @ 1.67
Kickoff
Mag 24, 2026 12:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -6.04% • n=271
Start
Started 3d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 3d 3h ago