Model: TIPPSH

Irtysh Pavlodar vs Kaisar Kyzylorda

PREDICTION

@ 2.16

StatusUpcoming

KickoffGiu 28, 2026 4:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 17h 44m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1h 17m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Irtysh Pavlodar. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Irtysh Pavlodar

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.23First seen

Current2.28Now

Max odds2.30Highest point

Min odds2.17Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Irtysh PavlodarHOME

Kaisar KyzylordaAWAY

DLDDD

Recent form

DWLDW

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.00

Shots on target for

5.80

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

5.60

6.60

Home splitD-D-L-L-L1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitW-D-L-D-L0.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.16. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Kazakhstan Premier League (kz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.16

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Irtysh Pavlodar has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -23.7% 7D: -16.1% 15D: -5.9% 30D: -4.6%

Model insight

Irtysh Pavlodar – Kaisar Kyzylorda Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.16. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample223

Win Rate45.7%

Profit-7.00u

Historical Similar Predictions

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WIN	Rosenborg 2 - Spjelkavik	2.08	1.04%
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WIN	NWS Spirit FC U20 - Wollongong Wolves U20	2.09	1.04%
LOSS	Spartak Varna - Dunav Ruse	2.22	1.04%
LOSS	Western City Rangers U20 - Bankstown City Lions U20	2.00	1.31%
LOSS	Henan - Shanghai Port	2.27	1.59%
WIN	Huima/Urho - JBK	2.00	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 2.16

Kickoff

Giu 28, 2026 4:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Starts in 17h 44m

Updated

Updated 1h 17m ago