La Serena – Cobreloa

Model: TIPPSH

La Serena vs Cobreloa

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.98
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 28, 2026 8:30 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 49d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 49d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is La Serena. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: La SerenaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

28/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.79First seen
Current1.95Now
Max odds1.96Highest point
Min odds1.75Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

La SerenaHOME
VS
CobreloaAWAY
WDLDL
Recent form
LWDWD
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.00
Shots on target for
4.60
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
5.40
5.60
Home splitW-D-L-L-W1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitL-D-D-L-L1.20 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.98. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Chile Cup (cl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.98
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -26.8% 7D: -26.1% 15D: -14.0% 30D: -6.3%
Model insight

La Serena – Cobreloa Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.98. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample708
Win Rate50.6%
Profit-6.26u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSRebordosa - FC Tirsense2.191.04%
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WINMolde - Tromso2.111.31%
WINLos Angeles FC II - Tacoma Defiance1.891.04%
WINUS Hostert - FC Etzella Ettelbruck1.951.04%
LOSSIngulets Petrovo - Nyva Ternopil2.101.04%
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Pick
1 @ 1.98
Kickoff
Giu 28, 2026 8:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 49d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 49d 16h ago
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