La Serena – Cobreloa

Model: TIPPSH

La Serena vs Cobreloa

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.96
StatusUpcoming
KickoffGiu 28, 2026 8:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 23h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is La Serena. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: La Serena

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

28/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.79First seen
Current1.96Now
Max odds1.96Highest point
Min odds1.75Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

La SerenaHOME
VS
CobreloaAWAY
DLDLL
Recent form
WDWDW
Avg goals scored
1.00
2.20
Defensive weakness
2.20
0.80
Shots on target for
3.40
5.60
SoT conceded pressure
6.00
4.20
Home splitD-L-L-W-L1.60 scored / 2.20 conceded
Away splitD-D-L-L-D1.20 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.96. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Chile Cup (cl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.96
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 11.4% 7D: -15.4% 15D: -7.2% 30D: -2.8%
Model insight

La Serena – Cobreloa Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.96. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample270
Win Rate46.7%
Profit-21.68u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINBotev Plovdiv - Arda Kardzhali2.151.31%
LOSSCorpus Christi FC - Antelope Valley Alta1.951.04%
WINAl Ahed - Safa Beirut2.041.04%
WINLilla Torg FF - Torns IF2.051.31%
LOSSChangchun Dazhong (W) - Shandong (W)1.851.04%
WINFK Transinvest (W) - Kauno Rajono FA (W)2.101.04%
WINAlftanes - Arborg2.171.31%
LOSSLa Serena - Cobresal2.051.31%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola12.171.04%30 May 18:30
Laholms FK - Utsiktens BK11.761.04%27 Jun 13:00
Huima/Urho - JBK12.001.31%27 Jun 15:00
Congo DR - Uzbekistan12.101.31%28 Jun 01:30
South Melbourne - Green Gully11.751.04%28 Jun 07:30
Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Newell's Reserves11.761.04%28 Jun 16:00
Athletic Club MG - Avai11.951.31%28 Jun 21:00
Ituano - Maranhao11.801.31%29 Jun 01:30
Pick
1 @ 1.96
Kickoff
Giu 28, 2026 8:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Starts in 1d 23h
Updated
Updated 8m ago
Torna in alto