Model: TIPPSH

Kingborough Lions vs Devonport City

PREDICTION

@ 2.15

StatusUpcoming

KickoffGiu 28, 2026 8:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 11h 35m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 6m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Kingborough Lions. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Kingborough Lions

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.35First seen

Current2.38Now

Max odds2.38Highest point

Min odds2.35Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Kingborough LionsHOME

Devonport CityAWAY

DWWWW

Recent form

DWWWL

Avg goals scored

4.80

2.00

Defensive weakness

0.40

1.40

Shots on target for

10.60

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

2.80

Home splitD-W-W-W2.75 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitW-L-W-W3.00 scored / 1.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Tasmania Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.15

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Kingborough Lions's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -35.9% 7D: -20.1% 15D: -6.2% 30D: -4.6%

Model insight

Kingborough Lions – Devonport City Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample230

Win Rate45.7%

Profit-9.47u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Rosenborg 2 - Spjelkavik	2.08	1.04%
LOSS	Nueva Chicago U20 - Defensores de Belgrano U20	1.99	1.04%
WIN	NWS Spirit FC U20 - Wollongong Wolves U20	2.09	1.04%
LOSS	Spartak Varna - Dunav Ruse	2.22	1.04%
LOSS	Western City Rangers U20 - Bankstown City Lions U20	2.00	1.31%
LOSS	Henan - Shanghai Port	2.27	1.59%
WIN	Huima/Urho - JBK	2.00	1.31%
WIN	Botev Plovdiv - Arda Kardzhali	2.15	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 2.15

Kickoff

Giu 28, 2026 8:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Starts in 11h 35m

Updated

Updated 6m ago