Model: TIPPSH

National Bank vs El Gounah

PREDICTION

@ 2.04

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 17, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 54d 22h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.21% · n=76

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.21% · n=76

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 55d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is National Bank. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: National Bank

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

43/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.76First seen

Current2.04Now

Max odds2.17Highest point

Min odds1.72Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

National BankHOME

El GounahAWAY

DLDWW

Recent form

DLLDD

Avg goals scored

1.60

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.20

Shots on target for

5.20

2.60

SoT conceded pressure

2.60

4.40

Home splitD-L-D-W-W1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitD-L-D-W-D0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.04. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.21% based on n=76 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Egypt Division 1 (eg). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.04

V2 BandHIGHROI 5.21% · n=76

V4 BandHIGHROI 5.21% · n=76

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives National Bank a useful statistical edge. The confidence band strengthens the case for the pick beyond the basic market price. National Bank has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 39.2% 7D: 14.6% 15D: -5.7% 30D: -0.7%

Model insight

National Bank – El Gounah Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.04. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.21% and 5.21%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample16

Win Rate56.3%

Profit+2.08u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Botafogo SP - Avai	1.96	6.72%
WIN	Belgium - Senegal	2.12	6.72%
LOSS	CRB - Fortaleza	2.17	6.72%
WIN	University NSW U20 - St George Saints U20	1.96	6.72%
WIN	Jincheon HR - Gijang United	1.90	6.72%
LOSS	KTP - FC Haka	2.12	6.72%
WIN	Keflavik - Thor Akureyri	1.82	6.72%
WIN	Henan U20 - Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20	2.04	6.72%

Pick

1 @ 2.04

Kickoff

Mag 17, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 5.21% • n=76

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

5.21% • n=76

Start

Started 54d 22h ago

Updated

Updated 55d ago