Model: TIPPSH

Patronato Parana vs CA Atlanta

PREDICTION

@ 2.78

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 21, 2026 3:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 15h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Patronato Parana. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Patronato Parana

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

49/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Patronato ParanaHOME

CA AtlantaAWAY

DLDDD

Recent form

WLLWW

Avg goals scored

0.60

1.40

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.00

Shots on target for

2.40

2.20

SoT conceded pressure

2.20

3.40

Home splitL-D-D-D-W0.80 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-W-D0.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.78. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Nacional B (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.78

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -21.6% 7D: -10.6% 15D: 8.1% 30D: 14.6%

Model insight

Patronato Parana – CA Atlanta Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.78. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample32

Win Rate46.9%

Profit+8.59u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Miami FC - Indy Eleven	2.79	4.53%
LOSS	Fredrikstad - Lillestrom	2.89	2.04%
WIN	San Diego Wave (W) - NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	2.89	4.53%
LOSS	Las Vegas Lights FC - El Paso Locomotive FC	2.84	4.53%
LOSS	Vikingur Gota - NSI Runavik	2.76	2.04%
WIN	Delaware FC - Real Central NJ	2.80	4.53%
LOSS	FC Struga Trim & Lum - FC Dinamo City	2.99	4.53%
WIN	IF Gnistan (W) - PK-35 Vantaa (W)	2.55	2.49%

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Pick

1 @ 2.78

Kickoff

Lug 21, 2026 3:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669

Start

Starts in 3d 15h

Updated

Updated 8m ago