Model: TIPPSH

Kvik Halden FK vs Mjondalen

PREDICTION

@ 2.74

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 08, 2026 5:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 1

StartStarted 14h 27m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Kvik Halden FK. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Kvik Halden FKGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.003 | A: 0.060

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

38/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.95First seen

Current2.74Now

Max odds2.95Highest point

Min odds2.70Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Kvik Halden FKHOME

MjondalenAWAY

LWLWW

Recent form

WLWWW

Avg goals scored

2.20

1.80

Defensive weakness

1.80

1.00

Shots on target for

6.60

4.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

4.00

Home splitL-L-W-W-D1.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-L-W2.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.74. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Division 2 Group 1 (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.74

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Kvik Halden FK's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 2.2% 7D: 13.0% 15D: 3.9% 30D: 10.1%

Model insight

Kvik Halden FK – Mjondalen Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.74. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample59

Win Rate40.7%

Profit+3.35u

Historical Similar Predictions

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WIN	Philadelphia Union - Cruz Azul	2.56	1.59%
WIN	Sacramento Republic - Tulsa	2.54	1.59%
WIN	Man Utd - Atletico Madrid	2.60	1.59%
LOSS	Bochum II - Borussia Dortmund II	2.73	1.59%
WIN	Union Cocle - San Francisco FC	2.52	1.59%
LOSS	FC Talant - FC Dordoi Bishkek	2.58	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.74

Kickoff

Ago 08, 2026 5:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Started 14h 27m ago

Updated

Updated 1d 4h ago