Model: TIPPSH

Sacramento Republic vs Tulsa

PREDICTION

@ 2.54

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 06, 2026 4:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 6h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 5h 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sacramento Republic. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sacramento RepublicGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.140 | A: 0.030

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.58First seen

Current2.54Now

Max odds2.77Highest point

Min odds2.54Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sacramento RepublicHOME

TulsaAWAY

WWDLW

Recent form

WDWLL

Avg goals scored

2.20

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.00

Shots on target for

4.20

2.00

SoT conceded pressure

2.80

3.20

Home splitW-W-L-D-W2.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-D-W0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.54. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL Championship (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.54

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Sacramento Republic has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 39.2% 7D: 11.3% 15D: 7.4% 30D: 10.8%

Model insight

Sacramento Republic – Tulsa Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.54. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample139

Win Rate38.1%

Profit-8.22u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	FK Volga Ulyanovsk - FK Chelyabinsk	2.46	1.59%
WIN	Aragua - Bolivar SC	2.30	1.59%
WIN	Udelas FC - San Francisco Reserves	2.41	1.59%
WIN	Vila Nova GO (W) - Ceara (W)	2.46	1.59%
WIN	Man Utd - Atletico Madrid	2.60	1.59%
LOSS	Bochum II - Borussia Dortmund II	2.73	1.59%
WIN	Union Cocle - San Francisco FC	2.52	1.59%
LOSS	La Serena - O'Higgins	2.45	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.54

Kickoff

Ago 06, 2026 4:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Starts in 2d 6h

Updated

Updated 5h 13m ago