Model: TIPPSA

Kvik Halden FK vs Notodden

PREDICTION

@ 2.21

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 30, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 0

StartStarted 3d 6h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.76% · n=65

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.76% · n=65

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 3d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Notodden. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NotoddenGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.025 | A: -0.041

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

33/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.00First seen

Current2.40Now

Max odds3.00Highest point

Min odds2.40Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Kvik Halden FKHOME

NotoddenAWAY

DLWLW

Recent form

DWLWW

Avg goals scored

1.20

Defensive weakness

2.40

0.60

Shots on target for

5.20

6.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

2.20

Home splitD-L-L-W-W1.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitD-W-W-W-W2.20 scored / 0.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.21. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.76% based on n=65 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Division 2 Group 1 (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.21

V2 BandLOWROI 1.76% · n=65

V4 BandLOWROI 1.76% · n=65

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -13.0% 7D: 13.6% 15D: 13.6% 30D: 9.9%

Model insight

Kvik Halden FK – Notodden Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.21. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.76% and 1.76%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample168

Win Rate50.0%

Profit+12.83u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	St. James Swifts (W) - Greenisland (W)	2.05	1.21%
LOSS	Shimizu S-Pulse - FC Tokyo	2.06	1.21%
WIN	Vanraure Hachinohe - Tochigi City	2.33	0.84%
LOSS	Dalian Young Boy - Shanghai Shenhua	2.24	1.76%
WIN	FC United of Manchester - Avro FC	2.10	1.21%
WIN	Briton Ferry - Barry Town	2.03	1.21%
WIN	Widzew Lodz - Lech Poznan	2.18	1.21%
WIN	Rodina Moscow - Baltika Kaliningrad	2.01	1.76%

Pick

2 @ 2.21

Kickoff

Ago 30, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.76% • n=65

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.76% • n=65

Start

Started 3d 6h ago

Updated

Updated 3d 9h ago