Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic – Beijing Institute

Model: TIPPSH

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Beijing Institute

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.79
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 05, 2026 3:30 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 5h 24m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 7h 48m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Lanzhou Longyuan AthleticGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.069 | A: -0.131

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

26/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.48First seen
Current1.79Now
Max odds1.82Highest point
Min odds1.48Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Lanzhou Longyuan AthleticHOME
VS
Beijing InstituteAWAY
WDDDW
Recent form
LLLLL
Avg goals scored
1.40
0.40
Defensive weakness
0.80
2.40
Shots on target for
2.40
1.40
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
4.20
Home splitW-D-D-W-D1.40 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-D0.40 scored / 2.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.79. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China Division 2 (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.79
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic a useful statistical edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 40.4% 7D: 20.9% 15D: 6.7% 30D: 12.0%
Model insight

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic – Beijing Institute Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.79. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample349
Win Rate47.3%
Profit-38.66u
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LOSSLillestrøm 2 - Kongsvinger 21.921.31%
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WINSt Louis City II - Real Monarchs SLC1.831.04%
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Pick
1 @ 1.79
Kickoff
Ago 05, 2026 3:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 5h 24m ago
Updated
Updated 7h 48m ago
Torna in alto