FC Lahti – KuPS Kuopio

Model: TIPPSH

FC Lahti vs KuPS Kuopio

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.60
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 16, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2d 3h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1h 40m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Lahti. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC LahtiGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.051 | A: 0.033

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

40/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.60First seen
Current2.60Now
Max odds2.61Highest point
Min odds2.60Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC LahtiHOME
VS
KuPS KuopioAWAY
DWLWW
Recent form
LDDWL
Avg goals scored
1.20
0.80
Defensive weakness
0.20
1.20
Shots on target for
4.20
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
5.20
Home splitW-W-W-D-L1.40 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-W-W1.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.60. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Veikkausliiga (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.60
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, FC Lahti has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -19.1% 7D: 4.7% 15D: 12.4% 30D: 9.8%
Model insight

FC Lahti – KuPS Kuopio Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.60. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample94
Win Rate43.6%
Profit+9.91u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSLoughborough University - Belper Town2.702.49%
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WINLancaster City - Warrington Rylands2.552.49%
LOSSMineros - Monagas II2.804.53%
LOSSClub Aurora - Bolivar2.702.49%
WINAuckland FC II - East Coast Bays2.502.49%
WINHapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Petah Tikva2.453.15%
LOSSOtrant-Olympic Ulcinj - OFK Petrovac2.804.53%
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Pick
1 @ 2.60
Kickoff
Ago 16, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Starts in 2d 3h
Updated
Updated 1h 40m ago
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