Model: TIPPSA

Leganes vs Racing Santander

PREDICTION

@ 2.32

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 10, 2026 6:15 PM

ResultWIN1 - 2

StartStarted 61d 22h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 62d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Racing Santander. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Racing Santander

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

40/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.32First seen

Current2.32Now

Max odds2.38Highest point

Min odds2.28Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

LeganesHOME

Racing SantanderAWAY

LLLLW

Recent form

WWDWW

Avg goals scored

0.80

2.80

Defensive weakness

2.20

1.00

Shots on target for

5.00

9.00

SoT conceded pressure

5.80

3.20

Home splitL-L-W-D1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitW-D-W-L1.75 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.32. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.31% based on n=578 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Segunda (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.32

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.31% · n=578

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Racing Santander's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 11.0% 7D: -4.9% 15D: -6.2% 30D: 0.1%

Model insight

Leganes – Racing Santander Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.32. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample155

Win Rate40.6%

Profit-8.20u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Craigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)	2.34	3.43%
LOSS	Union La Calera - Universidad de Chile	2.29	3.59%
LOSS	Votoraty U23 - Guarulhos U23	2.08	2.63%
LOSS	Vidar - Pors Grenland	2.08	2.63%
WIN	Chongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan	2.52	3.43%
LOSS	Deportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota	2.56	3.43%
LOSS	IF Gnistan - SJK	2.51	4.13%
LOSS	Lech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)	2.25	3.59%

Pick

2 @ 2.32

Kickoff

Mag 10, 2026 6:15 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578

Start

Started 61d 22h ago

Updated

Updated 62d ago