Model: TIPPSA
Swift Hesperange – US Hostert
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.33
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 10, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 30d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 30d 18h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Swift Hesperange | US Hostert |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-L-D-L | W-W-L-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-L (home) | W-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.33 scored / 3.00 conceded | 0.67 scored / 2.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.00 for / 5.25 against | 5.33 for / 3.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 1.33 for / 5.33 against (home) | 6.00 for / 2.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to US Hostert's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 8.0%
7D: -6.1%
15D: -9.9%
30D: 0.6%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.24First seen
Current2.33Now
Max odds2.33Highest point
Min odds2.24Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Swift Hesperange – US Hostert Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.33. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample150
Win Rate42.0%
Profit-2.96u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Chongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan | 2.52 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Deportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota | 2.56 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | IF Gnistan - SJK | 2.51 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Lech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 2.25 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | Chrobry Glogow - LKS Lodz | 2.19 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Lobos UPNFM Reserves - CD Marathon Reserves | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
Pick
2 @ 2.33
Kickoff
Mag 10, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Start
Started 30d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 30d 18h ago