Lions FC – Peninsula Power

Model: TIPPSH

Lions FC vs Peninsula Power

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.20
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 01, 2026 12:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 20h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Lions FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Lions FCGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.071 | A: -0.011

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

31/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.93First seen
Current2.20Now
Max odds2.20Highest point
Min odds1.93Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Lions FCHOME
VS
Peninsula PowerAWAY
DWWLW
Recent form
DLDWW
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.80
Defensive weakness
0.60
1.20
Shots on target for
6.00
6.00
SoT conceded pressure
0.80
4.00
Home splitD-W-W-W-W2.40 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitD-L-W-W-W2.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.20. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia NPL Queensland (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.20
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Lions FC a useful statistical edge. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -20.2% 7D: -17.7% 15D: 8.9% 30D: 9.8%
Model insight

Lions FC – Peninsula Power Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola12.171.04%30 May 18:30
Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves11.991.31%05 Jul 16:00
Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves12.401.59%05 Jul 19:00
Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United12.171.04%27 Jul 01:00
Malaga - Al Ittihad Jeddah11.981.04%30 Jul 19:00
Vasco da Gama U20 - Santos U2011.961.04%30 Jul 23:30
Independiente Rivadavia - Huracan12.241.04%31 Jul 00:00
Corinthians - Athletico Paranaense11.981.04%31 Jul 00:30
Pick
1 @ 2.20
Kickoff
Ago 01, 2026 12:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Starts in 1d 20h
Updated
Updated 8m ago
Torna in alto