Vasco da Gama U20 – Santos U20

Model: TIPPSH

Vasco da Gama U20 vs Santos U20

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.96
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 31, 2026 1:30 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1h 24m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1h 19m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Vasco da Gama U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Vasco da Gama U20Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.057 | A: 0.042

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

28/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.82First seen
Current1.96Now
Max odds1.98Highest point
Min odds1.82Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Vasco da Gama U20HOME
VS
Santos U20AWAY
LLLWW
Recent form
LWWLW
Avg goals scored
1.20
2.20
Defensive weakness
0.80
0.80
Shots on target for
4.80
7.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
4.60
Home splitL-W-W-W-L2.80 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitW-L-D-W-W1.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.96. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie A U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.96
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -14.5% 7D: -13.0% 15D: 7.0% 30D: 11.5%
Model insight

Vasco da Gama U20 – Santos U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.96. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample460
Win Rate47.2%
Profit-35.14u
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WINSabah FC U20 - Negeri Sembilan U201.811.04%
LOSSJPS - FCJ Blackbird1.931.04%
WINNueva Chicago Reserves - CA Colegiales Reserves1.791.04%
LOSSAEK Athens - Samsunspor1.991.04%
LOSSGirona - CD Castellon2.181.04%
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Pick
1 @ 1.96
Kickoff
Lug 31, 2026 1:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Starts in 1h 24m
Updated
Updated 1h 19m ago
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