Estoril vs Rio Ave
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Estoril. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: EstorilGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.041 | A: 0.029Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Portugal Primeira Liga (pt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Estoril – Rio Ave Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | AC Taverne - FC Wettswil-Bonstetten | 2.20 | 1.04% |
| WIN | NK Vrhnika - ND Dravinja | 2.00 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Koninklijke HFC - Barendrecht | 2.15 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Progres Sakiet Eddaier - JS Omrane | 1.91 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | NK Bilje - NK Bistrica | 2.20 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Brentwood Town - Enfield Town | 2.02 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Needham Market - Halesowen | 2.37 | 1.59% |
| WIN | FK Prepere - Turnov | 1.91 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| FC Cajamarca - Atletico Grau | 1 | 2.34 | 1.59% | 21 Aug 19:00 |
| Tondela - Academica | 1 | 1.90 | 1.04% | 21 Aug 21:15 |