Los Angeles FC vs Toluca
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Toluca. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: TolucaValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.15. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.70% based on n=134 historical similar picks. The match belongs to CONCACAF Champions Cup. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Toluca is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Los Angeles FC – Toluca Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Deportivo Moquegua - AD Tarma | 2.94 | 6.31% |
| LOSS | Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig | 3.00 | 6.31% |
| LOSS | Nantes (W) - Lyon (W) | 3.01 | 6.31% |
| WIN | Strasbourg (W) - Le Havre (W) | 3.02 | 5.70% |
| WIN | Girona - Real Betis | 3.05 | 6.31% |
| LOSS | Ipswich - Middlesbrough | 2.94 | 6.31% |
| WIN | NK Osijek - NK Varazdin | 3.19 | 6.31% |
| WIN | Ponte Preta - Vila Nova | 2.93 | 6.31% |