Model: TIPPSA
Lyon – Lens
PREDICTION
2
@ 4.60
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 4
StartStarted 9d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.38% · n=79
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 10.80% · n=30
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9d 6h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Lyon | Lens |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-W-W-W | W-L-W-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-W-W (home) | W-D-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.25 scored / 2.00 conceded | 2.00 scored / 1.75 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.40 for / 5.00 against | 7.20 for / 3.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.50 for / 5.25 against (home) | 5.00 for / 4.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Lens is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.78First seen
Current4.72Now
Max odds4.72Highest point
Min odds3.78Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Lyon – Lens Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.60. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.38% across 79 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is ELITE, with a historical expected ROI of 10.80% across 30 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample17
Win Rate35.3%
Profit+10.24u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Dijon - US Orleans 45 | 4.50 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | Zira IK - FK Gabala | 4.44 | -2.42% |
| WIN | Getafe - Rayo Vallecano | 4.53 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | Jacuipense - Atletico Alagoinhas | 4.42 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | Auckland City - Fencibles United | 4.52 | -2.42% |
| WIN | Deportivo Cuenca - Orense | 4.42 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | Manisa BBSK - Serikspor | 4.40 | -0.38% |
| LOSS | South Korea (W) - Zambia (W) | 4.35 | -0.38% |
Pick
2 @ 4.60
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.38% • n=79
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
10.80% • n=30
Start
Started 9d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 9d 6h ago