Lyon – Lens

Model: TIPPSA

Lyon vs Lens

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.60
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 4
StartStarted 54d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.38% · n=79
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 10.80% · n=30
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 54d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Lens. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Lens

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

83/100
Excellent value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.78First seen
Current4.72Now
Max odds4.72Highest point
Min odds3.78Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

LyonHOME
VS
LensAWAY
LLWWW
Recent form
WLWDD
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.80
Defensive weakness
2.20
1.20
Shots on target for
5.40
7.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.00
3.40
Home splitL-W-W-W2.25 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitW-D-D-L2.00 scored / 1.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.60. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 10.80% based on n=30 historical similar picks. The match belongs to France Ligue 1 (fr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.60
V2 BandNONEROI -0.38% · n=79
V4 BandELITEROI 10.80% · n=30
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market prices Lens as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Lens's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 5.3% 7D: 17.1% 15D: 7.7% 30D: -0.3%
Model insight

Lyon – Lens Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.60. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.38% across 79 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is ELITE, with a historical expected ROI of 10.80% across 30 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample17
Win Rate35.3%
Profit+10.24u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSDijon - US Orleans 454.50-0.38%
LOSSZira IK - FK Gabala4.44-2.42%
WINGetafe - Rayo Vallecano4.53-0.38%
LOSSJacuipense - Atletico Alagoinhas4.42-0.38%
LOSSAuckland City - Fencibles United4.52-2.42%
WINDeportivo Cuenca - Orense4.42-0.38%
LOSSManisa BBSK - Serikspor4.40-0.38%
LOSSSouth Korea (W) - Zambia (W)4.35-0.38%
Pick
2 @ 4.60
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.38% • n=79
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
10.80% • n=30
Start
Started 54d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 54d 23h ago
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