Model: TIPPSA
Jacuipense – Atletico Alagoinhas
PREDICTION
2
@ 4.76
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 44d 23h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 5.00% · n=48
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 2h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Jacuipense | Atletico Alagoinhas |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-L-L-L | L-L-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-L (home) | L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 1.50 conceded | 0.00 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.20 for / 6.00 against | 1.75 for / 3.50 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.50 for / 4.50 against (home) | 1.00 for / 3.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 21.8%
7D: 11.9%
15D: 9.4%
30D: 16.4%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.54First seen
Current5.54Now
Max odds5.54Highest point
Min odds4.54Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Jacuipense – Atletico Alagoinhas Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.76. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 5.00% across 48 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample7
Win Rate14.3%
Profit-2.25u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Eibar - Cordoba | 4.79 | 3.75% |
| LOSS | UTC Cajamarca - Sport Boys | 4.75 | 3.75% |
| LOSS | Palermo - Catanzaro | 4.98 | 3.75% |
| LOSS | SCR Altach - SV Ried | 4.76 | 5.00% |
| WIN | Omiya Ardija (W) - Nojima (W) | 4.75 | 5.00% |
| LOSS | KuPS Kuopio - SJK | 4.99 | 5.00% |
| LOSS | Ravenna - ASD Pineto Calcio | 4.93 | 5.00% |
Pick
2 @ 4.76
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.00% • n=48
Start
Started 44d 23h ago
Updated
Updated 45d 2h ago