Jacuipense – Atletico Alagoinhas

Model: TIPPSA

Jacuipense vs Atletico Alagoinhas

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.76
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 94d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 5.00% · n=48
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 94d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Atletico Alagoinhas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Atletico AlagoinhasGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

64/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.54First seen
Current5.54Now
Max odds5.54Highest point
Min odds4.54Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

JacuipenseHOME
VS
Atletico AlagoinhasAWAY
WLLLL
Recent form
LLLL
Avg goals scored
0.80
0.50
Defensive weakness
2.60
2.00
Shots on target for
2.20
1.75
SoT conceded pressure
6.00
3.50
Home splitW-L1.00 scored / 1.50 conceded
Away splitL-L0.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.76. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 5.00% based on n=48 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie D (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.76
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 5.00% · n=48
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 21.8% 7D: 11.9% 15D: 9.4% 30D: 16.4%
Model insight

Jacuipense – Atletico Alagoinhas Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.76. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 5.00% across 48 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample8
Win Rate25.0%
Profit+1.57u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINAthletic Club MG U20 - Nacional de Muriae U204.823.75%
LOSSEibar - Cordoba4.793.75%
LOSSUTC Cajamarca - Sport Boys4.753.75%
LOSSPalermo - Catanzaro4.983.75%
LOSSSCR Altach - SV Ried4.765.00%
WINOmiya Ardija (W) - Nojima (W)4.755.00%
LOSSKuPS Kuopio - SJK4.995.00%
LOSSRavenna - ASD Pineto Calcio4.935.00%
Pick
2 @ 4.76
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.00% • n=48
Start
Started 94d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 94d 16h ago
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