Model: TIPPSA

Dijon vs US Orleans 45

PREDICTION

@ 4.50

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 15, 2026 9:30 PM

ResultLOSS3 - 2

StartStarted 56d 15h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.38% · n=79

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 56d 17h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is US Orleans 45. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: US Orleans 45

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

44/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.55First seen

Current4.80Now

Max odds5.00Highest point

Min odds4.55Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

DijonHOME

US Orleans 45AWAY

WWLWD

Recent form

LWDLW

Avg goals scored

1.40

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.20

Shots on target for

4.20

5.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

2.80

Home splitW-L-D-W1.50 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-D-W1.33 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.50. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.38% based on n=79 historical similar picks. The match belongs to France National (fr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd4.50

V2 BandNONEROI -0.38% · n=79

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor US Orleans 45. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. US Orleans 45 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 6.4% 7D: 0.3% 15D: -4.2% 30D: -2.8%

Model insight

Dijon – US Orleans 45 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.50. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.38% across 79 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample19

Win Rate31.6%

Profit+7.77u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Lyon - Lens	4.60	-0.38%
LOSS	Zira IK - FK Gabala	4.44	-2.42%
WIN	Getafe - Rayo Vallecano	4.53	-0.38%
WIN	Bodrum FK - Sariyer	4.33	-0.38%
LOSS	FC Utrecht - NAC	4.30	-0.38%
LOSS	Jacuipense - Atletico Alagoinhas	4.42	-0.38%
LOSS	Deportivo La Coruna (W) - Alhama CF (W)	4.28	-2.42%
LOSS	CD Diocesano U19 - UD La Cruz Villanovense U19	4.31	-0.38%

Pick

2 @ 4.50

Kickoff

Mag 15, 2026 9:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -0.38% • n=79

Start

Started 56d 15h ago

Updated

Updated 56d 17h ago