Strasbourg – Toulouse

Model: TipTromba35H

Strasbourg vs Toulouse

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.06
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 03, 2026 7:15 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 69d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.58% · n=665
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 69d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Strasbourg. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Strasbourg

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

48/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.48First seen
Current3.07Now
Max odds3.07Highest point
Min odds2.47Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

StrasbourgHOME
VS
ToulouseAWAY
LLWLL
Recent form
WDLLL
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.40
Defensive weakness
2.00
2.80
Shots on target for
3.00
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
6.40
8.60
Home splitL-L-L-W-W1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-L1.50 scored / 2.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.06. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.58% based on n=665 historical similar picks. The match belongs to France Ligue 1 (fr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.06
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.58% · n=665
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -14.7% 7D: -16.0% 15D: -5.2% 30D: 11.0%
Model insight

Strasbourg – Toulouse Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.06. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.58% across 665 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample136
Win Rate28.7%
Profit-13.95u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSWisla Krakow - Wrexham3.003.85%
LOSSDefensores de Cambaceres - Sacachispas3.203.85%
WINPuiu - PPJ3.102.17%
LOSSAalesund - Molde3.123.85%
WINAguia de Maraba - ABC3.103.85%
WINMP II - HaPK3.002.17%
LOSSVejle - Randers FC3.253.56%
LOSSAS Trencin - FC Trinity Zlin3.203.85%
Pick
1 @ 3.06
Kickoff
Mag 03, 2026 7:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.58% • n=665
Start
Started 69d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 69d 16h ago
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