Matsumoto Y FC – Nara Club

Model: TIPPSH

Matsumoto Y FC vs Nara Club

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.74
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 06, 2026 9:00 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 45d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.66% · n=356
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.66% · n=356
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Matsumoto Y FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Matsumoto Y FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

5/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.53First seen
Current1.74Now
Max odds2.02Highest point
Min odds1.53Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Matsumoto Y FCHOME
VS
Nara ClubAWAY
LWDDD
Recent form
WWWLW
Avg goals scored
1.20
2.80
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.40
Shots on target for
3.60
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
7.40
Home splitL-D-D-L-D0.80 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-W-L1.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.74. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.66% based on n=356 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan J2/J3 Centennial League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.74
V2 BandNONEROI -4.66% · n=356
V4 BandNONEROI -4.66% · n=356
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

At a short price, the selection appears more probability-based than value-driven. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -12.9% 7D: -4.8% 15D: 8.7% 30D: 14.8%
Model insight

Matsumoto Y FC – Nara Club Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.74. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -4.66% and -4.66%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample220
Win Rate58.2%
Profit-5.02u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSABB U19 - The Strongest U191.63-9.21%
WINSuduva Marijampole - Hegelmann Litauen1.71-9.21%
LOSSJapan Soccer College - Artista Asama1.71-6.04%
LOSSAvondale U23 - St Albans Saints U231.68-9.21%
LOSSChrobry Glogow - Sleza Wroclaw1.71-9.21%
WINKF Fjallabyggd - Sindri1.70-9.21%
LOSSMan Utd - Wrexham1.71-9.21%
WINBeijing Guoan U20 - Henan U201.64-7.35%
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Pick
1 @ 1.74
Kickoff
Giu 06, 2026 9:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -4.66% • n=356
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-4.66% • n=356
Start
Started 45d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 45d 11h ago
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